We tested what happened when ideas about consumer companies followed their recorded rise or fall direction.
IdeaTestedPlay
What qualifies
A qualifying BSP earnings forecast whose Sector is Consumer Discretionary.
Product status
Play
Direction
Tradour follows the BSP displayed Rise or Drop forecast.
Prospective Strategy Record
Starts at the automation activation boundary; no backfill
Execution capability
eToro Demo long execution is available after activation; qualifying short signals are recorded but not converted into long trades.
See how this Play tradesDirection, entry and exit rules
Direction behaviour
Tradour follows the BSP displayed Rise or Drop forecast.
Entry
BMO: 5–2 minutes before the previous NYSE session closes. AMC: 5–2 minutes before the earnings-date session closes.
Exit
BMO: 5–2 minutes before the earnings-date session closes. AMC: 5–2 minutes before the next NYSE session closes.
Record state
Prospective Demo record not activated yet
What the past showed
It worked 56% of the time.
This is exploratory historical evidence. The owner has promoted the frozen rule to a prospective beta Play, but these past results are not part of its Strategy Record and are not a promise about what happens next.
Across 344 evaluated records: 192 held up · 150 did not · 2 had no clear move
Clear-direction examples
342
Tested
2024–2026
Different shares
69
Show me how you worked it outSee every number, limit and recent example
Worked
192
Did not work
150
Did not move
2
Result not known
102
Middle recorded result
+0.9%
Evidence dates
21 May 2024 – 7 Aug 2026
Based on this number of examples, the likely range runs from 51% to 61%. A wider range means we are less sure.
What we still need to learn
The overall past result was close to a fifty-fifty split.
Some narrower versions were chosen after looking at the results, so they need fresh examples.
This uses a recorded source result, not a fully checked market-price return.
Recorded examples
Shares in this test include AAP, ABNB, AMZN, APTV, AZO, BBWI, BBY, BKNG, and others.
