Play

Entertainment: Test the Opposite

We tested what happened when an Entertainment idea moved the opposite way to its rise or fall label.

IdeaTestedPlay
What qualifies

A qualifying BSP earnings forecast whose Industry contains Entertainment.

Product status
Play
Direction
Tradour takes the opposite direction to the BSP displayed Rise or Drop forecast.
Prospective Strategy Record
Starts at the automation activation boundary; no backfill
Execution capability
eToro Demo long execution is available after activation; qualifying short signals are recorded but not converted into long trades.
See how this Play tradesDirection, entry and exit rules
Direction behaviour
Tradour takes the opposite direction to the BSP displayed Rise or Drop forecast.
Entry
BMO: 5–2 minutes before the previous NYSE session closes. AMC: 5–2 minutes before the earnings-date session closes.
Exit
BMO: 5–2 minutes before the earnings-date session closes. AMC: 5–2 minutes before the next NYSE session closes.
Record state
Prospective Demo record not activated yet
What the past showed

It worked 68% of the time.

This is exploratory historical evidence. The owner has promoted the frozen rule to a prospective beta Play, but these past results are not part of its Strategy Record and are not a promise about what happens next.

Across 37 evaluated records: 25 held up · 12 did not · 0 had no clear move
Clear-direction examples
37
Tested
20242026
Different shares
7
Show me how you worked it outSee every number, limit and recent example
Worked
25
Did not work
12
Did not move
0
Result not known
8
Middle recorded result
+2.4%
Evidence dates
16 May 2024 7 Aug 2026

Based on this number of examples, the likely range runs from 51% to 80%. A wider range means we are less sure.

What we still need to learn

  • We found this while checking many industries, so chance may have helped it stand out.
  • The result comes from the recorded source result, not an independently checked market price.
  • We have not yet tested this rule on a fully fresh set of examples.

Recorded examples

Shares in this test include DIS, EA, LYV, NFLX, PSKY, TKO, TTWO.

Up to 12 recorded examples used by this test.
DateShareEventExpectedResult
7 Aug 2026TTWOBefore market opensFallNot known
5 Aug 2026DISBefore market opensRiseNot known
4 Aug 2026PSKYAfter market closesRiseNot known
3 Aug 2026TKOAfter market closesRiseNot known
16 Jul 2026NFLXAfter market closesRiseNot known
21 May 2026TTWOAfter market closesFallWorked
6 May 2026TKOAfter market closesRiseDid not work
6 May 2026DISBefore market opensRiseWorked
5 May 2026EAAfter market closesFallWorked
4 May 2026PSKYAfter market closesRiseDid not work
16 Apr 2026NFLXAfter market closesRiseDid not work
25 Feb 2026TKOAfter market closesFallDid not work

Useful guides

What does rise or fall mean?Why the number of examples mattersWhy one pattern may be luck